Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.074124 0.083247 0.092649 0.103034 0.114154 0.125677 0.138491
2025-02-23 0.062660 0.076555 0.091629 0.109064 0.128543 0.149512 0.173667
2025-03-02 0.053951 0.071006 0.090341 0.113566 0.140395 0.170124 0.205268
2025-03-09 0.043721 0.062068 0.083797 0.110854 0.143082 0.179726 0.224024
2025-03-16 0.035345 0.054137 0.077368 0.107286 0.143929 0.186550 0.239078
2025-03-23 0.031822 0.051790 0.077311 0.111027 0.153172 0.202995 0.265239
2025-03-30 0.028374 0.049066 0.076392 0.113376 0.160489 0.217020 0.288508
2025-04-06 0.026122 0.047683 0.076982 0.117459 0.169844 0.233469 0.314726
2025-04-13 0.022662 0.044151 0.074353 0.117077 0.173360 0.242647 0.332097
2025-04-20 0.021980 0.044654 0.077207 0.123933 0.186154 0.263370 0.363697
2025-04-27 0.018722 0.040803 0.073636 0.121880 0.187223 0.269340 0.377093
2025-05-04 0.017432 0.039951 0.074267 0.125503 0.195694 0.284642 0.402118
2025-05-11 0.014923 0.036929 0.071720 0.124888 0.198927 0.293864 0.420395
2025-05-18 0.014212 0.036984 0.073840 0.130993 0.211384 0.315206 0.454338
2025-05-25 0.013269 0.036499 0.075069 0.135813 0.222159 0.334506 0.485915
2025-06-01 0.010848 0.032861 0.071023 0.132677 0.221825 0.339204 0.498819
2025-06-08 0.008625 0.029182 0.066567 0.128632 0.219987 0.341753 0.508848
2025-06-15 0.008016 0.028801 0.067568 0.132833 0.229763 0.359750 0.538932
2025-06-22 0.007231 0.027897 0.067586 0.135471 0.237308 0.374805 0.565282
2025-06-29 0.006792 0.027726 0.068855 0.140055 0.247679 0.393725 0.596794
2025-07-06 0.005753 0.025897 0.067015 0.139626 0.250739 0.402755 0.615379
2025-07-13 0.005781 0.026807 0.070214 0.147313 0.265711 0.428071 0.655547
2025-07-20 0.004695 0.024521 0.067309 0.145013 0.265953 0.433261 0.669153